Re: Against a thinking TAG.....
The only hand a thinking TAG should be c/ring the flop with here is a monster IMO.
He should be check-folding lone 7s/pockets (that were too weak to 3-bet pf) on the flop because hero's range is basically a bunch of aces, a few kings, bigger pockets and maybe QJs that has 10-11 outs against him in a small pot.
He should be WA/WBing aces or kings here.
So if he's really decent the only reasonable hands I can see him c/ring for value here are 77, A7s, or a deception-pf-called AK. After his check-raise, I call down on the chance that my read is wrong, possible outs against two-pair, or a trickey bluff.
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