View Single Post
  #26  
Old 12-07-2005, 04:45 PM
gergery gergery is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2004
Location: SF Bay Area (eastbay)
Posts: 719
Default Re: Chase the low draw?

Taking a card off on the flop here is probably close to EV neutral

You are getting 12:1 there. Your low is worth ~3 outs and the backdoor straight and flush are probably worth 1 out. And with 4 outs you need ~10:1 odds so you just barely have it. But given the fact that you may face flop/turn aggression, might miss the river check-raise, might lose some opponents and their implied odds, and most importantly, might get quartered, makes it pretty close to even.

-g
Reply With Quote