Re: KK river fold
For those of you that think this river raise is difficult, I don't really understand your thinking. This player will be donkbetting a newly acquired pair of 7's or a pair of tens very very frequently. And the average 2/4 player is certainly not folding either of those hands to a raise.
When he threebets you, he holds J9 the vast majority of the time. Other times he will hold some type of boat or trip sevens. But I submit that you need to be ahead less than 7% of the time to make calling that last bet profitable. And every once in a while, for whatever reason, this player has decided to go crazy on the river with something that you beat. Maybe it's less than 7% of the time. It's probably close. But personally I am paying this last bet off on the 1/10 chance that I have run into the guy who loves to bet-threebet the river as a bluff with his busted whatever. Hell, at 10/20 I know this is a bluff more than one in fifteen times. Surely the "randomly bad" factor is greater at 2/4.
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