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Old 12-29-2005, 04:26 PM
TheMetetron TheMetetron is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 92
Default Re: In which I fold a straight (no flush or boat possible)

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button has 2.3af so even if he just had a naked jack hed probably raise it since hes a little overaggro. hes probably not the type to go for overcalls. however, button raised the flop and there should be no way hes doing this with a naked jack. his hand range is KJ, QJ, TJ by likeliness. i dont think KJo raises preflop since hes not that aggressive pf and KJs may limp as well (but probably not).

youre definitely chopping this pot 3 ways on the river. if you chop your equity is 5BB whereas if you call and lose its 2BB. so one of the 2 players would have to have KJ less than 3/5 times, which sounds right to me. id call.

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Take into account the likelyhood of a 3-bet/cap and it changes things.
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