Re: Flopped nuts but very vulnerable
I really don’t want to see this check around because I don't want someone to catch a 10 high flush and then not let it go so I would bet. However this hand can't withstand much action because it is very unlikely that it will be the nuts by the river and you are probably playing for 1/2 the pot.
My reply: Bet and toss it if there is any action.
Think about it this way. Lets count the ways that your str8 will not longer be the nuts
- 8 flush cards
- 6 str8 counterfeit cards (3 6's, 3 7's)
- 8 board pairing cards (3 3's, 2 5's, 3 4's)
- Some backdoor draws lets say about 2 outs worth.
Total: 24 outs.
That means you will not have the nuts on the river 78.8% of the time.
Yes not all these cards will beat you but this board looks to be action heavy so do you really want to be calling a cap on the river playing for 1/2 the pot with anything less then the nuts?
This seems like a classic O8 trap hand. Don't get sucked in.
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