Re: Can psychological factors turn a -EV play into a +EV play?
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If I had a read on a player that he might tilt if I hit a long shot against him could it be worth playing a -EV draw when the possibility of making the opponent tilt if you hit is factored in?
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The real question is whether this move is really -EV? Arguably, you should never make a move that is truly long term -EV. If the "implied tilt odds" that you have outweigh a small short term disadvantage that you have when calling, then calling is still +EV even though the pot odds don't say so.
That said, situations where this is actually the case (and you're not justifying a call because you want to gamble) are few and far between.
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