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Old 12-09-2005, 07:10 AM
Shillx Shillx is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Frog and Peach Pub, Downtown SLO
Posts: 4,478
Default Re: Party 10+1 Bubble Question

Yikes. Fold just about everything here when the 2 big stacks move in. I'll run an ICM but I would fold KK here for sure.

You will have roughly 23% equity if you fold here. This assumes that the other 2 are in a coin-flip.

Assume that you have AA and they will win 70% of the time. You have 36% equity if you win the hand. You have 0% if you bust. Therefore your total equity here if you call with AA (and they win 70%) is 25.4%. You need to win about 64% of the time to call here.

Aces figure to win about 70% against 2 opponents so that is one hand that you can call with. Kings don't win anywhere close to 70% of the time (maybe 60-63%) against 2 others and thus it is a fold here. QQ is a turbo muck.

Brad
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