Re: BR disagreement/fallacy
pretend it's 2% (for simplicity) likely that you will ever lose 250 BB.
ok, you go and lose 250 BB. the chances you lose another 250 BB is still 2%. nothing has changed. it's still 2% that you'll win.
let's say you have AA against JTs. you're a big favorite. now the flop comes 982 with 2 of his suit. you aren't a big favorite anymore
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