Re: 100 vs 6500
Dont need to know x,y, and z. Unless x is huge relative to z and y you got way the worst of it.
Assumption. The hundred pros dont play any better than the 6500 randoms. We know this is not true. The chance of none of the 100 making the final 9 is equal to 1 minus the chance of the nine seats are all filled by randoms. This number is about 0.05 or one in twenty. For this to be a good bet for you, that 'x' number better be 40 or 50 times bigger than the 'y' number.
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