Re: Is it that hard to actually put the why with the what?
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UTG could have 10js, 98s, 78s, 67s
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No. She couldn't. She's weak/tight remember, none of these, with the possible exception of JTs are in her preflop range. There's no way she cold calls 2 more bets on the flop w/ JTs.
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She could also have 88, 10-10, which you have tons of outs against
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A definate posibility. I felt, however, if she had TT she would have raised the flop. 88 was a possibility that I considered, but honestly thought she was more likely to fold that hand when stuck between the two aggressors then she was to call with it.
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I don't see how someone going call, cold call, convinces you they have a set.
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Its a combination of things, and keep in mind she's not the only one in the hand. Her preflop standards remove many of the hands that she "might" play that way. Furthermore there's no way a weak/tight is colding calling the 2nd and 3rd bet with a gutshot, or with naked overs. There was no flush draw (I might have forgot to mention the board was rainbow).
Also, doesn't SB's lead, into a player he know will raise, look like a hand that wants action? I wasn't sure that UTG had a set, but I was pretty sure one of them did.
lf
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