Re: reducing relevant sample size for analysis (long)
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I must say that I like the idea.
But how many points do you get for the following scenario?
You: QdJs
Opp: KhTh
He raises, you reraise from the button, he calls.
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He's got you 61% to 38% pf. your raise is a 0, but only one since it was just one action.
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Flop: 4h5h6s
You bet, he calls.
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you bet into a better hand and got called. flop scores a 0.
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Turn: 9d
You bet, he calls.
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you bet into a better hand again. turn score is a 0.
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River: 9s
You bet, he folds.
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you bet and won the hand. river score is a 1.
You'll notice that even though you won the hand, you had a rough DMS score. If the villain had decided to call the river (or worse for you, raise) every bet you would have put in would have spewed all over him.
Remember, bluffing is only a good poker tool when it works. In this case, you invested a ton of bets on a pure bluff throughout the hand against the second nut flush draw. The point where the bluff worked is the point where your score rewarded you.
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