[Surfbullet]

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The first two replies in this thread are awful....sorry guys but you obviously aren't even thinking beyond autopilot when you play this game...don't you realise that many many of the too tight TAGs playing this game will check the river after you've called them down on a drawless board and only bet when they have an A here.

I don't know if plays like this are more profitable than calling down or if folding the turn is better, but it's definitely not horrible.

This hands a bit different because of the location of the player raising from MP as opposed to most of these HU hands which are played from blind steals. Also his location at the table relative to you means you won't be HU often so folding the turn is probably ok because you don't get a weak image with this player and he's unlikely to keep pushing you around.

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It requires a very specific type of TAG (and read) to know that this player will bet enough worse hands on the turn to call expecting him to check through on the river...and that a river bet means specifically an A or better and not a bluff.

His stats indicate that he is too-tight preflop, and may fold too much postflop, but his aggression is certainly high enough that he may bet too often, and bluff too much.

However, if we are to assume that he will only bet an A or better on the river, then I think the # of hands that we beat that he bets on the turn is not much greater than that which he bets on the river, thus a turn fold is correct.

Surf