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Old 01-15-2005, 01:10 AM
VBM VBM is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
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Default Re: A Microsoft Interview Question (aka basic Bayes\' Theorem)

ok, dont' laugh you bayesian snobs, but i drew 6 empty holes in a circle and filled in 2 of them. there are 4 possible states its in when your friend pulls the trigger and didn't kill himself. afterwards, there are only 3 possible empty chambers that won't kill you; b/c if he was on the one just before the filled one, you're on the filled one and you're fcuked. your chances are 3/6 which is not as good as 4/6 so you should spin again and point it at your friend for convincing you to play this stupid game.
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