Thread: AJo UTG
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Old 11-18-2005, 11:10 PM
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Default Re: AJo UTG

i love you guys......

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I call the turn and may consider folding the river UI if I'm EXTREMELY confident in my "decent TAG" read

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I wasnt overly confident, it was over a fairly small sample without stats. however he had been showing down good hands so far and hadnt done anything out of line with a TAG image

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AK, AQ, AJ, AA, KK, QQ, JJ, or 1010

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I think this is a decent range, possibly AJ AT even 88 or 77 could be discounted but considered possible.

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the only thing I'm concerned about are the times he checks behind on the river with a hand we beat- WA/WB line usually means that we bet the river and fold to a river raise. What do other people think?

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i bet/fold very few rivers, and i certainly wasnt willing to risk it here. i think there is a chance he raises AJ/AT or even KK or QQ (he has given no indication of slowing down) particularly considering my bet really would seem to come from nowhere and could be seen as a pure bluff on a missed straight or flush draw. i think this factor is significant enough that even if we were raised on the river we still must call. as we are behind the majority of the time i think a check/call line is probably more appropriate, putting 1BB instead of 2BB in on the river.

i also think there is a good chance he checks behind with hands like AK/AQ at this level being scared of a sandbagged 9; im not sure how this impacts on our analysis.

to the idea of check/folding the river ui, i really think that there is enough money in the pot to stick around and sheriff.
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