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Old 11-18-2005, 05:08 AM
gergery gergery is offline
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Join Date: May 2004
Location: SF Bay Area (eastbay)
Posts: 719
Default Re: Why Two Dimes Data Is Wrong (Continued...)

[ QUOTE ]
I'm still confused then, what was the point gergery was trying to make in his original post?

[/ QUOTE ]

You'll note further down in that thread that gergery admitted to making a math error.

The point is that twodimes only tells you how often you win parts of the pot. it doesn't tell you how much you have to pay for that equity.

this doens't matter as much when heads up or on turn, but more comes into play in 3 way pots or when there are several cards yet to come.

Simple example:
You have A234 with a flush redraw, your opponent has A234. Board is 567. So you both have nut low with counterfeit protection and a straight. The pot is small now but you both jam huge stacks in all-in.

your opponent has 40% equity, but can only win a portion of a tiny pot on the flop. So his profit here is miniscule even tho he has decent equity. Twodimes gives you chances to win, but that is not profit.

Omaha Hi/Low 8-or-better: 820 enumerated boards containing 7s 6s 5c
cards scoop HIwin HIlos HItie LOwin LOlos LOtie EV
As 2s 3c 4d 0 324 0 496 0 0 820 0.599
Ac 2d 4h 3h 0 0 324 496 0 0 820 0.401

-g
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