Re: Decent Thanksgiving middle avail.
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Im new at this, how do you figure it is 10% to finish at +3?
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Because about 10% of games where one team is a 3 point favorite (or close) end up with the favorite winning by exactly 3 points. I actually get a slightly higher percentage (10.56 for spreads -2.5 to -3.5).
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Can you explain how exactly you come up with the 10.56? Is it based on all NFL games with a 3 point spread ever? Where can I find how often this has occured?
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