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Old 12-22-2005, 02:02 PM
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Default Re: critique (bad play leads to tough decision)

I would fold. How weak-tight is that?

I would put him on 89 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], or 2 pairs or A9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], I think he has a bettor hand than yours. That means that he probably don't have you beat now, but he is more likely to hit one of his 14-20 outs.

89 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] have 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3 tens and 3 fives, 3 nines and 2 eights = 20 outs
A9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] have 9 [img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3 tens and 3 fives, 3 Aces = 17 outs

He will win more often than you, AA, KK and QQ are also likely, so it is a fold. You have a lot of chips, so I wouldn't do it, with a stack of 2500, you should call but not with your stack.
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