Re: odds of two players flopping the same trips, 6 players
Cobra is pretty much right. It's about the same odds as flopping quads.
The way that the OP phrased the question actually brings in conditional probability, but since you guys figured out what he meant, we won't go there.
6 or 10 handed doesn't actually make a difference here.
1/430 is slightly off, but about right. Your chance of flopping quads is 1/426 or so, so this has to be less, because we know 2 more cards in the deck preflop, eliminating many combinations.
Chance of flopping trips but NOT full house
(2c2)38c1/48c3
= 38/48c3
= .21%.... which is 1/450ish
Chance of one flopping trips, and one full house
2c2(6c1)/48c3
6/17296
= 1/3000ish
|