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Old 12-03-2005, 08:23 PM
DougOzzzz DougOzzzz is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 132
Default Re: Sagarin Predictor rulezzz!

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It makes sense that using margin of victory is a good way to predict results of future games. However, I don't think it is approprate to use it to award championships (or places in a championship game).

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who (in this thread) said it was?

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I didn't say anyone said it was, I was just stating my opinion. Afterall, A few years ago, points based computer rankings were used in the BCS.

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Points-based computer rankings are far better than ELO-Chess rankings.

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They are vastly superior for predicting outcomes. But it is up for debate whether they should be used for awarding championships. Afterall, if an NFL team wins 52-0 in the first round, 49-0 in the 2nd round, and loses 21-20 in the conference championship, they normally don't advance to the Super Bowl despite a better computer rating in the playoffs.
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