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Old 12-07-2005, 07:53 PM
locutus2002 locutus2002 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 469
Default Re: Hand vs Carlos Mortensen in Bellagio 3K

I think Carlos has the flush to miniraise and push the turn.

Hero's most likely holding is a 2, of the 100 hands with a 2, 12 are full houses, and the other 90 have 9 outs. A few of them might have flush outs that are clean. I think Carlos betting makes sense for a medium flush. I suppose he could play a FH this fast, but 77,AA,a2s are much less likely.

I wouldn't be surprised if he got a read off you when he miniraised.

I don't like the flop bet because 2pr or a set of 2 is not likely to win a big pot on this board, but likely to lose a big one.
Same thing for the turn bet/raise.
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