[TheHip41]

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If we raise this turn, can we fold to a 3-bet? I think the times we're raised off the best hand by a 3-bet are pretty small, so it's probably correct. It would be nice if AK doesn't want to call down our turn raise. Free showdown if he calls the rizzle.

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The basic theme to my posts is that the hero should not be investing more than 2.5 big bets in this hand postflop. There are 4 lines that meet this objective.

1. Call down
2. Raise flop, call 3 bet, fold turn
3. Raise flop, bet/fold turn, check river
4. Call flop, raise/fold turn, check river

If we knew exactly how our opponent played postflop any of these lines could be the best line. With no real read on how our opponent plays postflop in HU situations like this I think line #1 is the best line since this line allows the hero to minimize his loss when behind and he can never get outplayed off the best hand when ahead. I think line #4, the one you advocated, is the 2nd best line. If I knew my opponent really well I would be more apt to chose lines 2-4 than line 1.

Against someone I dont know very well, HU in a Way Behind/decently ahead situation, I feel the value of showing this hand down without getting outplayed is greater than the value of trying to fold AK before the river.

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I just keep calling, because he has you totally stroked, or he is betting hoping you will fold. If he has complete air, like JT, he will fold to the turn raise. This is unlikely.

Most likely, he has AA-JJ, and will either call the turn raise and check the river, or if he has AA-KK, will 3 bet the turn.

If he has AK, he isn't folding the turn raise, and if an A or K or a straight card his the board, he will probably just don't the river, costing you another bet.

On this board vs. this opponent, I'm just calling down, and bet if he checks it. Raising is just charging yourself more to see the SD.

There are plenty of oppoents that will bet 66-99 like this every street, or AQ, or AJ, or Q9s. Just let them bluff off their chips when they are behind.