Re: Daily Hand Post : KJo in LMP
I dig pf through the turn.
The river, however, is where it gets interesting.
Villain could be betting 3 things:
1. PP<9 or K -- a bluff, essentially. He's not paying off a raise here, so EVcalling = EVraising.
2. A Q or 9 -- he's going to call every time and raise sometimes (where you won't pay off ever), raise is -1BB against calling.
3. Ace-high -- does he fold here enough for your raise to work?
The way the hand plays out, I think your hand is good here a decent % of the time, actually, as villain seems to have JT, Ax[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], or a low PP to call along like that. There's an outside chance he plays QJs like this, though, too.
I think villain may lay down A-high here just enough to make this profitable.
Very interesting.
-d
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