Re: Keeping the Initiative (Stars 100 hand)
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No, I like your bet size as is. A spade draw or unmade straight draw may still call (but may muck to a bigger bet). If you are called in one or two places, a smaller bet gives you more room on the river to maneuver.
If you are flat called in both places to a river blank you have enough behind to make a block/value bet on the river and fold if they come over the top. If your read is that one of them has a weak straight (based on your knowledge of the opponents) and can make a fold you can pot the river.
If you are called in both places to a double scare card (broadway spade) its an easy check/fold I believe.
If you are called in one place to a blank value/block the river or make a read above against a possible weak straight. If you are called in one place to a non-broadway spade, value/block bet, to another broadway card I probably just check/muck.
There is an argument for just potting the turn and folding to a raise. Its a pretty close decision. If they were tricky opponents they might smell the smaller bet as weakness and semi-bluff you off.
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Sounds pretty good except I don't think that there is enough behind to block/value the river if called in 2 spots. Pot will be like ~115 with about a $48 effective stack size left. Doesn't seem like a good idea to try and block here and fold to a push.
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I think for situatoins just like these its important to develop a history of betting less than the pot or even check/raising the nuts. If you only bet the pot with the goods until the river you can get read pretty well.
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But of course. Unfortuantely this was one of my first splashes in the Stars 100 game and I have no history yet. The 350 hands on Tighty were at the end of my sessions that night (though I was pretty sure his PT numbers would even out to about what they came to). I often bet less then pot with the nuts, (mostly on the turn and river) so my opponents shouldn't be able to pick up anything by my bet sizes and a c/r against a lag on the turn is just too easy sometimes especially in spots where I am the PFR.
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