[anona]

Hi
I have recently become sucessful in mtt tournaments. I won my first 1700 people tournament and narrowly missed out on some equivalent final tables through bad beats.

I found my biggest advantage was limiting pre flop all in.
When i was down to the last 100 and had AA and two people went all in i folded. I considered the odds of going out where roughly 1 in 3. So after 4 hours of play why did would i want to hinge my tournament future on those odds when i could pick a hand later where my chances (having seen the flop) would be much higher.
In fact if you go all in twice in a tournament with AA against two other opponents, then you are less then 50% change to survive those two showdowns.
What do you think of this? Have i miscalculated??