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Old 10-22-2005, 07:31 PM
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Default Re: Completely Lost with AA

[ QUOTE ]
You guys cant be serious. This is as routine a fold as you will get. Heres my hand ranges for both players ...

Board: Jh 7h Tc
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 27.4412 % 26.92% 00.52% { AA }
Hand 2: 20.0101 % 19.55% 00.46% { QQ-JJ, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 3: 52.5487 % 52.19% 00.36% { JJ-TT, 77, AJs, AJo }

[/ QUOTE ]

Why would you put limper on such a tight range there? I mean, if hero has a read that he heard another player say he was a luckbox, he could have called with some suited cards hoping to flop big, and fold on an unfavorable flop (I see poor players all the time limp call with hands they had no business even limping with). I just couldn't put him on a set or AJ exactly, I think he could also have a flush draw here.

And if hero is about a 1/3 chance of winning, and he is going to get close to 3x his chips if he wins this, I think thats reason enough to call here. Sure, he doesn't have exactly 1/3 and isn't getting exactly 3x his chips, but I think your ranges are off here for limper. Lots of poor players like to call for most of their chips chasing flush draws with unfavorable odds.
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