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Old 10-21-2005, 06:01 PM
elindauer elindauer is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 292
Default Re: Fold QQ?? - Got raised on J high flop - Turn King

You should fold, and here's why:

UTG raised the flop in a spot where he could not possibly hope to take it down. That means he WANTS more money to go in. What hands are these? On a J42 board, that's either a set, or big draw.

What kinds of big draws could be out there? Well, your Q [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and the board J [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] take away a lot of the big draws that didn't just catch a pair to beat you anyways. AQ [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], QT [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]... you know he doesn't have these.

That leaves AT [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] as about the only hand you beat right now. You might add some tiny shot at A4 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] or A3 [img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], but not many people raise those in EP.

He's played his hand exactly like jacks. You are usually drawing dead for not 1 but 2 big bets, and the few times you are ahead, you still have to dodge his huge draw. Getting only 12:2 to call down, I don't think it's there. Give it up.

my 2 cents.
eric
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