Re: AKs and an unorthodox play
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If an unpaired nonace-high flush draw is going to raise the turn and bluff the river but he'll fold the river UI when you 3-bet, you make less money 3-betting the turn?
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If you 3bet and he folds the river when he misses he puts in 3 bets on the turn and river combined.
If you call the turn and he bluffs when he misses he puts 3 bets in on the turn and river combined.
It's the same. Except that he is sometimes going to hit on the river and his bet will be a value bet which is an argument for 3betting the turn.
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If you know he's going to bluff the river when his draw doesn't hit, you're making 3BB - .6. If you 3-bet the turn and he folds the river UI with a flush draw you're making the same only you'll either bet/fold or bet/call the river. Either way his contribution is the same, but you win the same and lose less if you just call the turn raise. Isn't this right?
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