Re: Interesting Turn Decision With JJ Overpair
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Interesting responses.
I think I'll throw in the next piece of the puzzle for kicks...
Turn: (4.00 BB) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises</font>, Hero ???
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3-bet the turn. check/call the river.
if capped- fold.
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I don't think this can be correct. The reason so is what % of the time do you think we're ahead when he c/r us? For a 3 bet to be correct, we have to have the best hand >50% of the time which IMO is not the case.
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I'm with Noob on this one. Calling this down sucks IMO because he's going to bet the river 100% of the time and it doesn't cost us any less when we're behind assuming we fold to a cap. If you're not going to fold this you should 3-bet for the same reason you bet in the first place.
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this is bad logic.
there is X% chance we are ahead but we're unsure what that X is. but it's not super small.
if we pay the same amount either way, shouldn't we go to showdown and have a chance to win the pot?
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