Re: Hand from the Orleans
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KQ suited is the worst hand he is likely to hold.
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you think he's probably folding KJs/KQo to a min raise with antes? then min raise it up! no point wasting a lot of chips when he does have something.
after that, i like your line. if flush draws constituted a lot of his calling hands on the flop, i could see a turn bet, but it sounds to me like he's pretty likely to have Jx, or possibly 8x/99/TT, and he's likely not folding them. the fact that he could have Ax and you can win by checking down makes checking the turn even better.
not folding the river would be really bad.
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