View Single Post
  #3  
Old 10-11-2005, 06:12 PM
grayhawk grayhawk is offline
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2004
Posts: 16
Default Re: JJ vs. Tight player

With his likely range of hands after the 3-bet, that K on the river is a dagger. I would think 10/7 would 3-bet, AA-TT, AKs, AKo and AQs. So you split with JJ and beat AQ and lose to everything else. Even 99 (a less likely holding) beats you. So you are ahead of AQs (4 ways) and tied with JJ (1 way). You lose to AA-99 (24 ways), AK (12 ways). There are 36 hands you lose to and 4 you beat with one chop. The raise on the flop makes AQ less likely, unless they are both [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (and he may have taken the free card on the turn as well with A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]). Because of his play after the flop, I think I fold this river, but a call isn't terrible.
Reply With Quote