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Old 11-08-2002, 07:54 PM
RocketManJames RocketManJames is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2002
Posts: 118
Default Re: What are odds of this kind of Bad Beat Streak?

I believe you want to know the probability that you lose 22 or more times given 24 plays where you were a 3-1 favorite.

I believe this will equal:

Summation i = 0 to i = 2 for the following:

.75^i * .25^(24-i)

Which is an extremely small number which leads me to believe one of the following:

1) You were not a 3-1 favorite (perhaps you calculated your odds incorrectly).
2) You are not being completely honest.
3) I am simply wrong in my above calculation, thereby making whatever I said to be invalid.

Blasting off,
RMJ
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