Re: How long before you second guess yourself.
It's not uncommon to go two years or longer without any major downswings when playing LIVE because
(1) you're playing a smaller number of hands, so you can avoid hitting the extreme negative forms of variance for quite a while
(2) depending where you play, the opponents can be so bad that your winrate is quite high, which decreases the amount of one's downswings (in terms of BBs lost on an absolute scale) -- much of a downswing against horrible opponents is simply earning less than you normally would.
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