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Old 12-02-2005, 05:20 PM
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Default Re: Site Comparison

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Where are the best PLO8 games under $200?

The results might surprise you. I sifted through Pokertracker Omaha and got the following statistics:

Party Poker, 54K, 35.56, 55, 12.2,

Paradise, 4.3K, 45.8, 57, 28.3,

PokerStars, 5.7K, 39.1, 56, 15.11,

Prima, 12.6k, 41.1, 58, 6.2,

Ultimatebet, 2.6K, 41.8, 54, 32,

Party since Oct., ?, 33.1, 56, 4.4,


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It's more likely that you ran hot over short intervals at some of these other sites (and perhaps also benefitted from temporary anonymity--bad players haven't yet learned to avoid you). Such small sample sizes beg to have confidence intervals drawn around them--I think you'll see the winrates at other sites don't differ from the winrate you show on party in a statistically significant manner.

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I'd added 95% confidence intervals to these winrates. As you can see, it's very difficult to see any statistically significant differences between winrates from site to site. (Formula: win rate +/- 2*SD/sqrt(sample size), where SD is 62 & sample size is #hands/100)


Site: Hands: Site VPIP: Site WSD: My BB/100:

Party Poker, 54K, 35.56, 55, 12.2, [2.7, 17.5]

Paradise, 4.3K, 45.8, 57, 28.3, [9.4, 47.2]

PokerStars, 5.7K, 39.1, 56, 15.11, [-1.3, 31.5]

Prima, 12.6k, 41.1, 58, 6.2, [-4.8, 17.2]

Ultimatebet, 2.6K, 41.8, 54, 32, [7.7, 56.3]


So, for example, it would be silly to stop playing at Prima just because you've only run at 6.2 BB/100 over your first 13k hands there. Just as it would be silly to switch to UB completely just because you've run at a smoking 32 BB/100 over your first 3k hands there. I know you (Men) understand this, but it's worth tapping out for general interest.
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