Re: Hypothetical Question
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David that seems like a very difficult question.
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It is only difficult if the fact that the game is normally beatable for $50/hr means there is an idiot trying to crack you from any position but the BB. Otherwise, assuming no collusion then 2 things happen:
1) Someone has AA. They will reraise preflop, and we will lose 4BB total calling down.
This will happen 9/221, so 9 * (-4.75) / 221 = -0.19 BB
2) Someone will call from the BB with an ace or pocket pair and try to spike. The value lost here is marginal, and I'd estimate it at ~0.05 BB, since the implied odds aren't great for them.
So that's -0.24 BB to tack onto the 0.75BB gained from stealing the blinds ~0.51 BB per hand, or ~$1225/hr.
edit- missed the 0.75 BB lost in stolen blinds when AA happens. also forgot other KK, but that's worth ~0.005BB.
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