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Old 03-11-2004, 07:52 PM
heyrocker heyrocker is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Chicago
Posts: 154
Default Re: Bad play or bad beat?

[ QUOTE ]
This may be true, but I really don't mind a call from KJ here, do I? Obviously I do if a K or another J hits -- as it did here -- but I'm a 3:1 favorite at the flop.

[/ QUOTE ]

I have taken an attitude lately towards SNGs where if I'm confident that I'm a 2:1 or better favorite in the first 1-3 rounds I'm happy to push it in and let nature take its course. Take a situation where you have two pair or even tptk against someone you know has a four flush but nothing else. You face this a lot in lower limits where people love playing any two suited. I push with my two pair.

If he folds, fine. I got whatever was on the table.

If he calls my all in, then two times out of three I double and one time I lose (ignoring for the moment any other incidental wins/losses that might arise.) I'm going to get in the money the vast majority of the times I double which will more than make up for the time I lose. Plus some percentage of those times I won't actually lose, I'll just be left shortstacked, and since its early this can be built back up again. AND even if I lose, I only wasted ten minutes at the table rather than an hour. This all holds even more true for your example, where you're doubling 3 times out of 4.

In a multi its different, and this I have determined is one of my weaknesses in multis. I'm too anxious to take these chances and I'm too used to coasting after them. However in the SNGs you can play a lot more, its way less volatile, and I'm happy to let the odds work themselves out.

More considerations: The later it gets in the SNG the less and less likely I am to take these kinds of chances for all my chips. Also remember I'm playing a lower limit ($20 + $2) and I'm much more likely to get calls from weaker hands. I don't know what the situation is at your level. And of course if the hand you make is a monster instead of a good but possibly vulnerable hand like low two pair, the situation changes as well.

I guess thats a long winded way of saying, yeah, you shouldn't mind a call from KJ here.
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