Re: Blind Steal ?
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You think your EV with KQo will be higher that .75BB if you get action from the BB?
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you can't really look at it like that because of the information available at the two times t-1 and t where t is the flop.
at time t-1 your EV of KQo is the sumproduct of all the wins/losses and probabilities associated with them given your open raise and having no knowledge of what happens after you raise.
at time t, you now KNOW the bb has called and your EV has to be adjusted for time t and is different than that at t-1.
so i guess the question is at time t what hands that you raised with at time t-1 would you have wished the bb folded given that he called.
im not quite sure how to think about it and it doesn't seem like a very useful thought process...if soembody points out why its useful then i'll put some more thought into it.
anyways, to answer your question, it might be that Et[KQo | bb called] > .75bbs because you have position HU and initiative and a good hand that still is very likely best...
Barron
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