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Old 08-30-2005, 10:22 PM
StellarWind StellarWind is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 704
Default Hmm ... you seem to have no edge preflop

I just ran a Poker Stove simulation on KQs 6-handed:

Player 1: AA-TT, AK, AQ

Player 2: AA-66, any suited broadway, A9s, AK-AJ, KQ

Players 3-5: Any pocket, any suited, any ace, any broadway.

Hero: K [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]

These ranges are based on the reads in the article and are perhaps wider than they should be.

Hero wins 16.4% which is less than 1/6. Simulations aren't everything but the differences don't exactly favor us here. Most of these opponents will usually play any plausible hand to the end and we will not; our real winning chances are probably worse than the hot-and-cold computation.

It is also a big negative factor to give a player that only plays premium hands the option to cap.

The moral of this story is an old one. Players who only raise premium hands preflop are extremely dangerous. Normal standards for 3-bets and coldcalls don't apply.
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