Re: Riverbluff +EV?
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That really depends on your opponent of course. Any reads? If you could put him on the flush draw, or another draw, then definitely bet. But in the fish pond, someone could call you down win an underpair.
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Ok, now that I read this:[ QUOTE ]
Well, it wasn't against a random person, but against an ultraloose 84%vpip person.... He really can have any two in his hands.
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Don't bet. Although we like the fact that he may have really weak cards, he's going to call you with K-high or worse here.
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Well, but look at it from another point of view.
Would you risk it, that both check and he shows you Q high and takes the pot and you know there was a real good chance he would have folded that crap and you now lost that whole pot to save one bet.
I know everybody hates to lose pots this way and from a psychological point of view it's definately +EV [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
Also, I think the 84%vpip don't always mean that they always see the showdown.
Some like to see every flop and then fold when they miss, some always want to see what the river brings and fold there UI or with bottom pair, and some play the sherriff.
Now the question is, with any two starting hands and chasing to the river, is there any value in betting the river here?
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