Re: Turn action; river decision
As far as the river goes, I think bet/fold is by far the best line here. That is because we have a hand that now has some showdown value, given how passively the postflop has played out. Worse hands (pair of 4s, pair of 3s) will call but won't bet. At the same time, if we check and it is bet, it's likely to be a hand that beats ours but there's probably some small probability that it is someone betting randomly at the pot trying to take it away. (Or it could be that there is one person at the table who is willing to bet his pair of 4s, though everyone else would just check or call with that same pair of 4s.) So check/folding seems wrong. And finally bet/calling seems wrong because a raise at this point would almost always have to be either trip 5s that missed a turn check raise or a rivered straight.
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