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Old 10-29-2005, 07:35 PM
sweetjazz sweetjazz is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 95
Default Re: Aggression increases short-term luck, but skill still wins out

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How many times have you nailed the someone's hand exactly, knew he had nothing, and still couldn't get him to fold? This generally falls into the realm of FPS because a lot of people simply don't fold...because they feel tied to the pot because of the preflop action. These people are much more common than the quick folders.

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I am a bit skeptical about knowing with certainty that your opponent has nothing, but supposing we did, there is still plenty of opportunity for skill to come in. The skill doesn't come in trying to keep coming over the top with worse rags, but rather in value betting weak hands that wouldn't be value bet otherwise.

In big bloated pots, the main skill is value betting and controlling the number of bets that go into the pot before showdown. This is just a different skill than pushing tight players off missed hands by raising raggedy boards or scary boards in relatively small pots. In a tight game, it makes to semi-bluff raise more often with draws. In loose wild games where the pots become bloated, it often makes sense to play draws passively and look for ways to extract the maximum when you hit. (A key exception is bloating the pot on the flop if your equity edge is big enough.)
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