[Sredni Vashtar]

DB "I'd say over 50% of the time ... when all the money goes in, I've got the worst hand. Obviously, I couldn't overcome that unless I had something to compensate for it. And my compensation is all those small pots I've picked up."

DB "I've got that pot paid for with all the small pots I've picked up. And when I play the big pot ... it's a freeroll."


That's the Shania concept at work.

Z:"Reminds me of the gambler who was "playing with the casinos money" after a few wins ... then loses it all due to negative expectation wages."

In casino games making a negative expecation bet is negative, period. It just gets subtracted from the bottom line. There is no meta game(1).
Shania doesn't go there.

In poker what happens this hand affects the next hand and so forth. (Im talking multiway or exploitive strategies not headsup optimal) negative plays in isolation can lead to larger overall profits. In poker making positive expecation plays can lead to lower overall profits.

But learn to make the correct play in isolation. It's very important. (Perhaps even underrated) Fooling around with Shania may seem like a tempting prospect, but she can get you in trouble. Exploitive strategies are highly exploitable in themselves.

SV.





1)I am excluding cover bets made for pro players masking activity or shooting for comps.