Re: L3: AJ hand ($33)
Here were my thoughts at the time.
AA
There's a slim, slim chance he has played AA this way.
AQ/KQ
If he has KQ, I think he leads this flop. In my experience, KQ does not want to check here, especially because if it gets checked behind. AQ, sometimes checks here, but again, I think both of these hands lead.
88
If he has 88, this is precisely how I think he plays this. He's got me if this is his hand.
JJ
Again, if he has JJ, great. I think there's a good chance JJ reraises me here pf, but may just flat call. Again, c/r is certainly his plan of attack.
QQ
I seriously doubt QQ just flat calls preflop. I'm eliminating this hand. I'm sure I'll be told it's a mistake to do so, but I think it's rare.
QJ
This is how QJ plays this hand.
Draws:
Flush draw, and straight draw heavy board. I've said this in other posts, this c/r really feels like a draw to me. I don't know how to assign probabilities, but at this point, I assign this the highest probability. Straight draw hands are AK and KT.
TJ
I am seperating this hand from the above group. I think there's little chance TJ plays it this way. I think TJ is more likely to lead the flop. That being said, villain may read my bet to be weak, and c/r allin, thinking I might fold.
Completed straight: 9T
I think this generally folds preflop.
All in all, I think again, I'm ahead here more than I am behind. I think that I am more inclined to call hands like this on the weekends rather than during the week. Weekend is very loose, bluff and semi-bluff heavy. Anyway, isn't this the whole point of beting less than pot?
If anyone cares to, I'd like to hear rebuttals.
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