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Old 12-27-2005, 12:44 PM
Snarf Snarf is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: Men should act like Men
Posts: 4,434
Default Re: $55 How about this -$EV Push?

[ QUOTE ]
Nah I fold here. You do have limited fold equity if you have 3xbb at 200/400.

This is a pretty awful push into a loose bigstack.

[/ QUOTE ]

I agree.. While I actually DO understand your points, and have made some horrible pushed based on my cards - I consider some of them +EV based on very specific reads/table condiditions.

Here...you've summarized table conditions that might make an 'any 2' push profitable, but you left/are overlooking the single two most important things:

1) Sometimes w/5 players left - there is an 'artificial' bubble in place w/players wanting to outlast and willing to tread VERY lightly. Is this the case? Do you have proof/read that someone wouldn't make a loose call against you in chip gathering efforts prior the the real bubble?

2) And you could have stopped your post at the following point... THE BB OF THIS HAND IS LOOSE AND DOMINATING...AND...OH YEAH... THE SUPREME CHIP LEADER.

:-) Fold :-)


Edit: Oh yeah. Having the blinds hit you isn't the end of the world. It turns out the -EV of the blinds can actually be LESS -EV than a bad push like this. FYI

Edit: FE = Fold Equity.
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