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Old 08-09-2005, 01:26 PM
cwl cwl is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2004
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i called and he had JsTs so i win.

a couple of the factors i was thinking about are:
- with a hand strong enough to cr the river he will bet the turn a decent amount of the time. this is far from conclusive because its certainly possible he just missed a turn cr but it makes a bluff a bit more likely.
- many players dont checkraise as much as they should after having missed a turn checkraise. if he has a hand like a set i think its a reasonable play for him to cr the river here but often players will be so concerned about 2 streets getting checked through with their monster hand that they will bet, whether they should or not.
- i would guess i have pretty successfully made my hand look like a missed draw. its also reasonable for him to have a hand with no showdown value here which makes a bluff on his part somewhat more likely.
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