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Old 12-05-2005, 10:19 AM
gaming_mouse gaming_mouse is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2004
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Default Re: 20/40, hands like this are killing me - Q6s blind war

Surf,

If the LAG will likely be c/raising or folding, betting this turn will cost you an avg of 1.6 BB if he doesn't fold. Since folding him wins you 4 BB, you need him to fold about (1.6/4) ~ 40% of the time.

You can adjust this number down a bit to account for the times he just calls, but this should help you see that a bet on the turn is likely the wrong move against this type of player.

gm
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