View Single Post
  #8  
Old 07-28-2005, 09:05 AM
randomstumbl randomstumbl is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 313
Default Re: 2-7 TD, improving to 1 card draw

My bias is certainly against the deception check, but I don't see the value at all in this situation.

We're assuming a normal opponent. We've got a one card draw to an okay 8. I'd be surprised if a normal opponent actually folded to the bet before the final draw if he improved to a one card draw (even if he isn't getting proper odds). You've already done something really, really weird that he doesn't understand. He'll call just to try to figure out what you're doing, not to mention that most players just love calling.

So, we know we're going to the river and we're pretty sure our opponent is going to the river unless he completely bricks the next draw. So, our betting isn't going to change the actions of a normal opponent at all.

In the end, it seems like we're not allowing him a mistake after the first draw to allow him to possibly make a mistake after the second draw. The thing is, we can usually get him to make both mistakes.
Reply With Quote