Re: So I prolly shouldn\'t be trying this without reads
With the opponent holding J-X, X not being Ace or King, you have approximately 29% equity with you two overs and back-door flush draw.
Pot size after villian's raise t890.
If you push to villian raise you're getting a total of t2,205 (2 x your initial stack plus the blinds) for your remaining t795 should you win:
71% x 0 = 0
29% x t2,205 = t639.
Net loss: t156
So you need villian to fold t156/t890 = 17.5% of the time (or less than one out of five) to make a push break-even.
I believe that's possible, but you're probably mainly increasing your variance without increasing your equity. (I don't understand the re-raise to t700, leaving yourself with t95 is basically reducing equity - or am I getting something completely wrong here?)
Best,
McMelchior (Johan)
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