Re: Quick thoughts, more later
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He (UTG) may or may not have known that three people behind him had big aces. But if he's checking a very non-scary Ten, he's either passive or trapping. If he's passive, he ain't betting into a scary ace. If he's trapping, I should fold.
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There's another possibility. Let's look at the facts:
1. he raises 14% of hands, so he's pretty aggressive.
2. he didn't raise this hand, and he plays almost 40% of his hands. he didn't limp reraise. he's probably weak.
3. the flop contained a flush draw, and several open-ended and gutshot straight draws, and he raised.
4. the turn did not complete most draws, and he checked in a spot where he couldn't have much hope of winning with a bet
5. the river missed all draws, and he bet a scare card after a huge display of weakness on the turn
Are you telling me that this guy can't have a missed draw? Why do you think he has to be either passive or trapping on the turn?
-Eric
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