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Old 10-21-2005, 04:29 AM
SumZero SumZero is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2004
Posts: 73
Default How much, if at all, do non-cash finishes tell you about a player

So imagine you are playing a bunch of tournaments with ~150 people in them where only the top 10 finishers get money.

After 10 such tournaments 3 players have the following results:

Player A: 2, 8, 60, 70, 80, 90, 100, 110, 120, 130

Player B: 2, 8, 15, 130, 140, 140, 145, 145, 150, 150

Player C: 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 20, 25, 90

If you could have the money won by one of the players over their next 100 such tournaments who would you choose?

Obviously there is no difference in prize money between 11 and 150, but when you are trying to extrapolate player quality from very small sample size how much stock, if any, do you put on where someone tends to finish outside the money?
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