[DeeJ]

true, but the ace could be reverse dominated (I think this is not unlikely), you may well need to put in a bet to chase at the turn, you can get your Ace - or straight - and still lose to a flush, and you can get your flush but still lose to a boat if the board pairs the river. I think it's pretty close nonetheless.

The trouble with judgement calls like this is that your EV (if it is positive) is pretty tiny, you lose 90%+ of the time, & the variance is massive. Which means you can pretty easily go 40,50 or more times in these scenarios and lose every one [img]/images/graemlins/grin.gif[/img]

Beautiful mythical Sklansky dollars.